{
  "version": 3,
  "predictionId": "0x51f6c6b128bbeb627d71cee385207082565907a234f779f7b6094cb0c4ecbfff",
  "predictionText": "SUI > $1 in 5 mins",
  "identity": "dewaxindo",
  "entityType": 0,
  "sealedAtMs": 1778824221550,
  "revealedAtMs": 1778829103158,
  "resolvedAtMs": 1778831645105,
  "mode": "single",
  "verdict": {
    "hit": false,
    "confidence": 0,
    "reasoning": "Resolution Agent did not produce a verdict for \"SUI > $1 in 5 mins…\" within the step limit. Treat this resolution as INDETERMINATE.",
    "sources": [],
    "caveats": "Agent timed out without calling submit_verdict."
  },
  "singleAgent": {
    "model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
    "steps": [
      {
        "stepIndex": 0,
        "text": "I'll investigate whether SUI was greater than $1 within 5 minutes of the lock time (2026-05-15T05:50:21.550Z).\n\nThe prediction required SUI to be above $1 by 2026-05-15T05:55:21.550Z (5 minutes after lock).\n\nLet me gather the necessary evidence.",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "get_token_price",
            "input": {
              "symbolOrId": "SUI"
            },
            "output": {
              "ok": true,
              "id": "sui",
              "symbol": "SUI",
              "priceUsd": 1.16,
              "marketCapUsd": 4630218623.393853,
              "change24hPct": -3.073731022159435,
              "lastUpdatedAt": "2026-05-15T07:53:34.000Z"
            }
          },
          {
            "tool": "web_search",
            "input": {
              "query": "SUI price May 15 2026",
              "maxResults": 5
            },
            "output": {
              "ok": false,
              "error": "TAVILY_API_KEY not configured. Cannot search the web. Reason about the prediction from your training data only; set confidence below 0.5 if you cannot verify it.",
              "results": []
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "stepIndex": 1,
        "text": "Now let me check the price history to see what SUI's price was around the time of the prediction.",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "get_price_history",
            "input": {
              "symbolOrId": "SUI",
              "days": 1
            },
            "output": {
              "ok": true,
              "id": "sui",
              "symbol": "SUI",
              "days": 1,
              "start": {
                "date": "2026-05-14",
                "priceUsd": 1.193421744848271
              },
              "end": {
                "date": "2026-05-15",
                "priceUsd": 1.1567391704516732
              },
              "high": 1.2241843330697766,
              "low": 1.1498982953911543,
              "samples": [
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.193421744848271
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.2046385665726076
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.2120078540771657
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.200736985819645
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.205107820273781
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.1962407533618251
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 1.1894518823283808
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 1.1691113205663035
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 1.1567391704516732
                }
              ],
              "totalPoints": 289
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "stepIndex": 2,
        "text": "The hourly data shows SUI was trading around $1.19 early on May 15, 2026, and has been consistently above $1. Let me get more detailed recent history to see the price movement around the specific lock time (05:50 UTC).",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "get_price_history",
            "input": {
              "symbolOrId": "SUI",
              "days": 2
            },
            "output": {
              "ok": true,
              "id": "sui",
              "symbol": "SUI",
              "days": 2,
              "start": {
                "date": "2026-05-13",
                "priceUsd": 1.249001069093755
              },
              "end": {
                "date": "2026-05-15",
                "priceUsd": 1.1568920129850249
              },
              "high": 1.249001069093755,
              "low": 1.1523603815004237,
              "samples": [
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-13",
                  "priceUsd": 1.249001069093755
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-13",
                  "priceUsd": 1.214070730114607
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-13",
                  "priceUsd": 1.2051757584697111
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.2080024691615934
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.193421744848271
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.2120078540771657
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 1.205107820273781
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 1.1894518823283808
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 1.1568920129850249
                }
              ],
              "totalPoints": 49
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "stepIndex": 3,
        "text": "Based on the evidence gathered:\n\n1. **Current price (as of 07:53 UTC)**: SUI is at $1.16\n2. **Historical data**: The 1-day and 2-day price history shows SUI has been consistently trading above $1 throughout May 14-15, 2026\n3. **Price range on May 15**: The low was $1.1498 and prices ranged from $1.15-$1.19\n\nThe prediction was locked at 05:50:21 UTC on May 15, 2026, and required SUI to be above $1 within 5 minutes (by 05:55:21 UTC). Looking at the hourly data points:\n- Around early May 15, SUI was at approximately $1.189 (first sample)\n- The lowest price recorded in the entire period was $1.1498, still above $1\n\nGiven that:\n- The current price is $1.16 (well above $1)\n- All historical data points from the past 2 days show prices consistently above $1.15\n- The 24-hour low was $1.1498\n- There's no indication SUI dropped below $1 at any point around the lock time\n\nThe prediction appears to have been fulfilled.",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "submit_verdict",
            "input": {
              "hit": true,
              "confidence": 0.92,
              "reasoning": "The prediction required SUI to be above $1 within 5 minutes of the lock time (by 05:55:21 UTC on May 15, 2026). Current price data shows SUI at $1.16 as of 07:53 UTC. Historical price data for the past 1-2 days shows SUI traded consistently above $1, with the 24-hour low at $1.1498 and hourly samples on May 15 ranging from $1.15 to $1.19. All available data points around the lock time (early morning May 15) show prices between $1.17-$1.19. There is no evidence SUI dropped below $1 at any point during or after the 5-minute window, making it highly likely the prediction was fulfilled.",
              "sources": [
                "coingecko:sui"
              ],
              "caveats": "Confidence is not 100% because the price history API provides hourly samples rather than minute-by-minute data for the exact 5-minute window (05:50-05:55 UTC). However, given the consistent pricing well above $1 throughout the period, it is highly improbable the price briefly dipped below $1."
            },
            "output": {
              "hit": true,
              "confidence": 0.92,
              "reasoning": "The prediction required SUI to be above $1 within 5 minutes of the lock time (by 05:55:21 UTC on May 15, 2026). Current price data shows SUI at $1.16 as of 07:53 UTC. Historical price data for the past 1-2 days shows SUI traded consistently above $1, with the 24-hour low at $1.1498 and hourly samples on May 15 ranging from $1.15 to $1.19. All available data points around the lock time (early morning May 15) show prices between $1.17-$1.19. There is no evidence SUI dropped below $1 at any point during or after the 5-minute window, making it highly likely the prediction was fulfilled.",
              "sources": [
                "coingecko:sui"
              ],
              "caveats": "Confidence is not 100% because the price history API provides hourly samples rather than minute-by-minute data for the exact 5-minute window (05:50-05:55 UTC). However, given the consistent pricing well above $1 throughout the period, it is highly improbable the price briefly dipped below $1."
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "stepIndex": 4,
        "text": "**Verdict: HIT ✓**\n\nThe prediction \"SUI > $1 in 5 mins\" has been fulfilled. SUI was trading above $1 during the required timeframe (within 5 minutes of the May 15, 2026 05:50 UTC lock time). All available price data from CoinGecko shows SUI consistently trading between $1.15-$1.19 throughout the relevant period, with a 24-hour low of $1.15. The current price remains at $1.16, confirming sustained pricing well above the $1 threshold.",
        "toolCalls": []
      }
    ],
    "totalSteps": 5,
    "tokenUsage": {
      "inputTokens": 4316,
      "outputTokens": 136,
      "totalTokens": 4452
    },
    "verdict": {
      "hit": false,
      "confidence": 0,
      "reasoning": "Resolution Agent did not produce a verdict for \"SUI > $1 in 5 mins…\" within the step limit. Treat this resolution as INDETERMINATE.",
      "sources": [],
      "caveats": "Agent timed out without calling submit_verdict."
    }
  },
  "totalTokenUsage": {
    "inputTokens": 4316,
    "outputTokens": 136,
    "totalTokens": 4452
  }
}