{
  "version": 3,
  "predictionId": "0xecd8d619271d213afdd868f8772e5dd4bf78732d9fc29065532d5e5d6885c9fb",
  "predictionText": "ETH > $2.2K ",
  "identity": "dewaxindo",
  "entityType": 0,
  "sealedAtMs": 1778833839227,
  "revealedAtMs": 1778833928962,
  "resolvedAtMs": 1778833953664,
  "mode": "single",
  "verdict": {
    "hit": true,
    "confidence": 1,
    "reasoning": "The prediction \"ETH > $2.2K\" is true. At the current time (2026-05-15T08:32:15), ETH is priced at $2,252, which is clearly above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction was locked at 08:30:39 and opened just 90 seconds later at 08:32:08. Price history shows that ETH was already trading around $2,251-2,252 at the lock time, well above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction has been verified as correct.",
    "sources": [
      "coingecko:ethereum"
    ],
    "difficulty": "trivial",
    "difficultyReasoning": "ETH was already at approximately $2,251-2,252 at lock time (2026-05-15T08:30:39), which was above the $2,200 threshold, so the prediction was already true when locked."
  },
  "singleAgent": {
    "model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
    "steps": [
      {
        "stepIndex": 0,
        "text": "I'll investigate this prediction about ETH being above $2,200. Let me gather the necessary evidence.",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "get_token_price",
            "input": {
              "symbolOrId": "ETH"
            },
            "output": {
              "ok": true,
              "id": "ethereum",
              "symbol": "ETH",
              "priceUsd": 2252,
              "marketCapUsd": 272263327277.32977,
              "change24hPct": -0.7092116683627463,
              "lastUpdatedAt": "2026-05-15T08:32:15.000Z"
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "stepIndex": 1,
        "text": "Good! ETH is currently at $2,252, which is above the $2,200 threshold. Now I need to check the price history to determine the difficulty rating by seeing what the price was at lock time (2026-05-15T08:30:39.227Z).",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "get_price_history",
            "input": {
              "symbolOrId": "ETH",
              "days": 1
            },
            "output": {
              "ok": true,
              "id": "ethereum",
              "symbol": "ETH",
              "days": 1,
              "start": {
                "date": "2026-05-14",
                "priceUsd": 2268.085308600344
              },
              "end": {
                "date": "2026-05-15",
                "priceUsd": 2251.6732863865773
              },
              "high": 2316.782084077965,
              "low": 2240.300806071497,
              "samples": [
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 2268.085308600344
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 2254.0321333716997
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 2264.4604118699763
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 2301.286583838308
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 2290.4327761213126
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-14",
                  "priceUsd": 2294.7863435390154
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 2260.9716479387102
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 2251.5374776583035
                },
                {
                  "date": "2026-05-15",
                  "priceUsd": 2251.6732863865773
                }
              ],
              "totalPoints": 289
            }
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "stepIndex": 2,
        "text": "Perfect! The price history shows that ETH was around $2,251-2,261 on May 15, 2026 around the lock time (08:30 UTC). The prediction was locked at 08:30:39 and opened at 08:32:08 - only about 90 seconds later. The current price is $2,252.\n\nLet me analyze:\n- **Lock time**: May 15, 2026 at 08:30:39 - ETH was approximately $2,251-2,252\n- **Current time**: May 15, 2026 at 08:32:15 - ETH is at $2,252\n- **Threshold**: $2,200\n\nSince ETH was already above $2,200 at lock time (around $2,251-2,252), this prediction was already true when it was locked. This makes it a trivial prediction.",
        "toolCalls": [
          {
            "tool": "submit_verdict",
            "input": {
              "hit": true,
              "confidence": 1,
              "reasoning": "The prediction \"ETH > $2.2K\" is true. At the current time (2026-05-15T08:32:15), ETH is priced at $2,252, which is clearly above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction was locked at 08:30:39 and opened just 90 seconds later at 08:32:08. Price history shows that ETH was already trading around $2,251-2,252 at the lock time, well above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction has been verified as correct.",
              "sources": [
                "coingecko:ethereum"
              ],
              "difficulty": "trivial",
              "difficultyReasoning": "ETH was already at approximately $2,251-2,252 at lock time (2026-05-15T08:30:39), which was above the $2,200 threshold, so the prediction was already true when locked."
            },
            "output": {
              "hit": true,
              "confidence": 1,
              "reasoning": "The prediction \"ETH > $2.2K\" is true. At the current time (2026-05-15T08:32:15), ETH is priced at $2,252, which is clearly above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction was locked at 08:30:39 and opened just 90 seconds later at 08:32:08. Price history shows that ETH was already trading around $2,251-2,252 at the lock time, well above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction has been verified as correct.",
              "sources": [
                "coingecko:ethereum"
              ],
              "difficulty": "trivial",
              "difficultyReasoning": "ETH was already at approximately $2,251-2,252 at lock time (2026-05-15T08:30:39), which was above the $2,200 threshold, so the prediction was already true when locked."
            }
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "totalSteps": 3,
    "tokenUsage": {
      "inputTokens": 3220,
      "outputTokens": 533,
      "totalTokens": 3753
    },
    "verdict": {
      "hit": true,
      "confidence": 1,
      "reasoning": "The prediction \"ETH > $2.2K\" is true. At the current time (2026-05-15T08:32:15), ETH is priced at $2,252, which is clearly above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction was locked at 08:30:39 and opened just 90 seconds later at 08:32:08. Price history shows that ETH was already trading around $2,251-2,252 at the lock time, well above the $2,200 threshold. The prediction has been verified as correct.",
      "sources": [
        "coingecko:ethereum"
      ],
      "difficulty": "trivial",
      "difficultyReasoning": "ETH was already at approximately $2,251-2,252 at lock time (2026-05-15T08:30:39), which was above the $2,200 threshold, so the prediction was already true when locked."
    }
  },
  "totalTokenUsage": {
    "inputTokens": 3220,
    "outputTokens": 533,
    "totalTokens": 3753
  }
}